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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.59+2.50vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.58+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+3.35vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11+3.32vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.67-1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.23-1.81vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.22+0.18vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.26-0.67vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.35-2.86vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.14-2.88vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.95-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.46McGill University1.580.2%1st Place
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6.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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7.32Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.34Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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7.18Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.33Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.14Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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7.12Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.06Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lark | 17.8% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 20.6% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 7.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 21.6% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 14.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Giles Ruck | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 6.6% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 6.7% |
| Brian Hayes | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 6.0% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.