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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.23+3.28vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.58+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+3.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.67-0.58vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University-0.26+2.40vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.59-2.50vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-0.03vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University0.35-1.95vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.14-1.71vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.95+0.06vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.22-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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3.47McGill University1.580.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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3.42Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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7.4Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.5Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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6.97Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.05Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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7.29Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.06Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.2Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Stone | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Edward Coleman | 21.4% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 19.8% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 7.3% |
| Joey Lark | 20.0% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| Brian Hayes | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 7.2% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 68.4% |
| Giles Ruck | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.