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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joshua Stone 12.2% 14.2% 13.4% 15.1% 15.4% 11.5% 10.0% 4.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Edward Coleman 21.4% 18.0% 16.4% 14.2% 11.9% 8.7% 5.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Timothy Burns 5.3% 5.8% 7.3% 7.3% 9.6% 11.9% 13.9% 13.6% 12.9% 9.6% 2.8%
Christophe Chaumont 19.8% 18.7% 19.3% 14.7% 11.1% 7.1% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Simon Rothman 3.8% 3.4% 4.9% 5.4% 5.5% 9.1% 11.0% 14.1% 14.2% 21.3% 7.3%
Joey Lark 20.0% 19.6% 15.6% 16.3% 9.3% 8.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 4.7% 4.4% 4.4% 6.6% 9.0% 9.1% 11.6% 13.9% 16.7% 14.3% 5.3%
Brian Hayes 5.6% 6.2% 9.0% 9.0% 11.2% 13.4% 11.6% 12.0% 11.8% 8.0% 2.2%
Nicholas Leshaw 3.7% 4.8% 3.7% 5.0% 6.8% 9.2% 11.4% 14.7% 16.3% 17.2% 7.2%
Sophia Rosahl 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 3.7% 2.9% 6.3% 11.6% 68.4%
Giles Ruck 2.9% 4.3% 5.3% 5.5% 8.6% 8.7% 10.8% 14.4% 16.7% 16.4% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.