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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joey Lark 18.5% 17.8% 17.5% 15.5% 13.5% 8.3% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Stone 15.0% 14.2% 14.5% 12.9% 14.0% 11.0% 9.2% 5.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Christophe Chaumont 19.3% 19.8% 17.9% 14.3% 11.6% 9.7% 4.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 2.8% 3.9% 4.8% 4.5% 7.7% 8.7% 11.4% 15.8% 16.7% 17.1% 6.6%
Simon Rothman 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 5.4% 6.0% 9.5% 11.2% 12.8% 16.7% 19.4% 7.6%
Edward Coleman 19.6% 19.3% 16.4% 16.0% 10.6% 7.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Giles Ruck 4.1% 4.1% 4.5% 5.9% 6.8% 10.0% 11.7% 14.0% 15.0% 17.7% 6.2%
Timothy Burns 6.4% 5.6% 7.6% 10.2% 10.7% 11.8% 13.9% 11.1% 11.5% 9.6% 1.6%
Nicholas Leshaw 3.6% 4.3% 4.6% 5.3% 7.4% 8.2% 12.1% 14.0% 16.9% 15.7% 7.9%
Brian Hayes 6.5% 7.0% 7.3% 9.4% 9.6% 13.4% 12.1% 14.9% 10.9% 7.2% 1.7%
Sophia Rosahl 0.6% 0.2% 0.9% 0.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 7.2% 11.8% 68.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.