Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joey Lark 18.1% 17.8% 19.3% 14.0% 12.7% 9.8% 4.2% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 23.0% 19.8% 16.1% 14.8% 11.1% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Giles Ruck 3.5% 3.2% 4.2% 4.9% 5.4% 8.3% 11.5% 14.1% 17.4% 18.9% 8.6%
Joshua Stone 12.5% 13.0% 14.0% 15.3% 15.7% 10.2% 8.4% 6.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Leshaw 4.0% 4.2% 4.8% 6.2% 7.3% 9.5% 11.2% 12.9% 16.8% 17.3% 5.8%
Edward Coleman 19.8% 19.3% 17.7% 13.5% 10.9% 7.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Timothy Burns 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 11.1% 9.2% 14.2% 13.3% 13.2% 9.4% 7.7% 2.2%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 3.9% 3.6% 5.5% 6.1% 8.0% 9.8% 14.1% 12.5% 14.6% 17.2% 4.7%
Brian Hayes 5.3% 7.8% 6.4% 7.3% 10.7% 13.0% 13.6% 14.3% 11.7% 7.2% 2.7%
Simon Rothman 2.9% 3.9% 5.1% 5.7% 7.1% 7.7% 10.3% 14.2% 17.5% 17.8% 7.8%
Sophia Rosahl 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 6.3% 12.1% 68.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.