Race 6A

sacred-heart

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joey Lark 17.8% 18.5% 18.0% 16.0% 12.8% 7.8% 6.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Timothy Burns 5.7% 5.1% 8.1% 8.9% 10.2% 12.4% 14.7% 12.7% 12.7% 7.7% 1.8%
Christophe Chaumont 19.9% 20.1% 17.1% 14.8% 11.9% 7.9% 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Simon Rothman 2.5% 4.0% 3.1% 4.7% 5.5% 8.5% 9.7% 14.9% 17.3% 20.6% 9.2%
Joshua Stone 14.9% 14.0% 14.3% 13.6% 13.9% 10.7% 8.7% 5.0% 3.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Edward Coleman 20.0% 19.1% 16.8% 15.3% 10.5% 7.5% 5.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Brian Hayes 6.9% 6.8% 8.1% 8.7% 13.0% 12.8% 13.0% 11.9% 10.3% 6.2% 2.3%
Giles Ruck 3.5% 3.7% 4.1% 6.8% 6.9% 9.7% 11.0% 14.3% 15.4% 18.9% 5.7%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 4.0% 4.1% 4.9% 4.8% 7.0% 10.3% 11.0% 15.0% 15.9% 16.6% 6.4%
Nicholas Leshaw 4.2% 4.0% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2% 10.1% 11.2% 14.9% 16.4% 16.0% 5.9%
Sophia Rosahl 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 2.1% 2.3% 3.4% 3.6% 6.0% 11.9% 68.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.