Race 2B

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Cornew 19.3% 16.6% 14.5% 14.5% 10.8% 9.0% 6.0% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Phillip Morley 10.9% 12.0% 12.5% 11.8% 13.6% 9.1% 8.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
David Oliver 7.4% 9.1% 10.2% 11.8% 9.1% 12.0% 10.3% 11.0% 7.8% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Drake Lundeen 22.0% 19.5% 15.9% 13.9% 9.4% 7.5% 6.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Kang 3.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 7.8% 11.1% 13.4% 17.2% 11.3% 3.1%
Rachel Barch 6.6% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 9.6% 9.8% 12.0% 10.2% 9.2% 8.8% 6.8% 3.0% 0.4%
Aras Karaitis 6.9% 7.2% 8.3% 8.6% 7.0% 8.9% 11.2% 9.8% 11.4% 10.0% 6.7% 3.5% 0.5%
Adelaide Davis 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 8.2% 10.4% 10.0% 11.5% 10.4% 10.5% 8.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Michael Hamel 5.3% 4.9% 6.1% 6.8% 6.8% 8.9% 8.4% 13.1% 11.5% 10.7% 11.6% 5.0% 0.9%
Bill Weiland 7.3% 7.1% 8.6% 7.2% 11.1% 11.4% 8.8% 10.6% 9.5% 9.1% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9%
Emily Fontaine 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.7% 5.0% 5.0% 6.9% 12.7% 17.3% 24.1% 16.4%
Glen Ko 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 1.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 4.5% 6.6% 7.7% 19.4% 52.9%
Kyle Bloch 0.9% 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.9% 3.6% 6.9% 9.0% 17.2% 26.6% 24.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.