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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.59+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.23+2.17vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.58+0.60vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.67-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+1.21vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11+1.21vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.22+0.19vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.14-0.94vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.26-1.44vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University0.35-4.02vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.95-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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3.6McGill University1.580.2%1st Place
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3.43Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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6.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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7.21Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.19Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.06Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.56Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.98Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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10.08Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Lark | 18.8% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 14.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 18.1% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 20.9% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 7.1% |
| Giles Ruck | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 6.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 4.7% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 9.1% |
| Brian Hayes | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.