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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.23+3.25vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.59+1.43vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.67+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+2.37vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.35+1.11vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-0.26+1.50vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-0.07vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.58-4.59vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.14-1.74vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.22-2.75vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.95-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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3.43Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.41Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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6.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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6.11Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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7.5Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.93Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.41McGill University1.580.2%1st Place
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7.26Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.25Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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10.08Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Stone | 12.1% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Joey Lark | 21.5% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 20.0% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Brian Hayes | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 1.3% |
| Simon Rothman | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 9.1% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| Edward Coleman | 20.2% | 21.5% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 7.4% |
| Giles Ruck | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 6.3% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.