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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Sacred Heart University0.35+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.23+2.15vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+0.57vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.67-0.58vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.58-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.23vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.14+0.03vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.22-0.76vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.26-1.48vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.11-2.95vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.95-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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3.57Salve Regina University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.42Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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3.46McGill University1.580.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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7.03Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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7.24Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.52Wesleyan University-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.05Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.09Rutgers University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hayes | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Stone | 14.0% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joey Lark | 17.3% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 21.3% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Edward Coleman | 21.0% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 5.9% |
| Giles Ruck | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 5.7% |
| Simon Rothman | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 8.9% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 5.3% |
| Sophia Rosahl | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.