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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.35+1.73vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98-0.05vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.40+2.88vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.74-0.31vs Predicted
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5Yale University-0.11+0.13vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.52+0.04vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.60+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35-0.44vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.22-1.59vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.84-1.50vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-2.21-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
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1.95Salve Regina University1.980.5%1st Place
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5.88Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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3.69McGill University0.740.1%1st Place
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5.13Yale University-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.04Bates College-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.01Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
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7.41Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.5Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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9.09Middlebury College-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Salvesen | 21.4% | 29.3% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 45.4% | 28.9% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Donovan | 12.5% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Asher | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Owen Daniell | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| David Shlimak | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 9.3% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 23.4% |
| Liam Hahn | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 20.4% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.