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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.35+1.73vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University-0.40+3.70vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.52+3.11vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98-1.99vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.74-1.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University-0.11-0.81vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.60+0.99vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.84+0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35-1.32vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-2.21-0.83vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.22-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
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5.7Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.11Bates College-0.520.0%1st Place
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2.01Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
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3.63McGill University0.740.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.99Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.52Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.17Middlebury College-2.210.0%1st Place
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7.27Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Salvesen | 22.7% | 26.5% | 22.7% | 16.1% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 4.6% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Owen Daniell | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 43.1% | 29.9% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Asher | 5.2% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 14.7% |
| Emily Pooley | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 25.1% |
| David Shlimak | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 10.2% |
| Liam Hahn | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 39.1% |
| Lauren Gasek | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.