Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Salvesen 21.8% 26.9% 25.4% 14.0% 8.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Bowdler 47.2% 25.9% 16.1% 7.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Trevor Donovan 11.7% 16.0% 21.1% 18.1% 16.0% 10.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Moore 3.1% 6.2% 6.9% 10.3% 16.0% 17.2% 14.8% 11.2% 9.1% 3.9% 1.3%
Graham Hughes 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.9% 5.3% 8.2% 10.8% 13.6% 15.2% 19.3% 17.5%
Jacob Asher 5.5% 8.4% 9.5% 16.6% 14.9% 16.6% 10.9% 8.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7%
David Shlimak 1.8% 3.6% 3.5% 5.7% 6.0% 10.4% 13.3% 14.9% 16.7% 14.1% 10.0%
Emily Pooley 1.4% 1.0% 1.7% 3.1% 4.3% 6.2% 11.0% 12.5% 15.5% 20.5% 22.8%
Liam Hahn 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.6% 6.4% 9.2% 10.3% 21.8% 40.0%
Lauren Gasek 1.6% 3.6% 3.5% 5.7% 9.7% 9.8% 13.4% 15.5% 16.6% 13.8% 6.8%
Owen Daniell 3.5% 5.8% 8.2% 12.5% 13.5% 15.5% 13.5% 12.7% 9.9% 4.0% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.