Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Salvesen 22.1% 26.4% 22.0% 16.9% 8.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Trevor Donovan 14.0% 15.3% 22.3% 17.5% 14.7% 8.7% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Bowdler 43.1% 29.1% 15.7% 7.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Hughes 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.9% 6.3% 6.5% 9.3% 13.9% 19.4% 19.8% 17.0%
Owen Moore 4.3% 4.9% 9.0% 11.7% 14.3% 16.7% 14.4% 10.2% 8.8% 4.4% 1.3%
David Shlimak 1.3% 2.4% 3.2% 5.0% 5.9% 10.3% 13.2% 15.5% 16.1% 15.6% 11.5%
Lauren Gasek 2.6% 3.1% 3.4% 5.8% 9.1% 11.6% 13.7% 17.2% 12.8% 12.8% 7.9%
Emily Pooley 1.6% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 5.1% 7.5% 8.7% 14.0% 15.9% 19.8% 21.7%
Liam Hahn 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 4.0% 7.5% 7.7% 12.8% 21.1% 38.9%
Owen Daniell 4.4% 5.0% 7.5% 11.8% 14.3% 14.3% 15.3% 11.6% 9.9% 4.4% 1.5%
Jacob Asher 5.0% 9.9% 11.2% 15.6% 16.2% 16.8% 12.0% 7.4% 3.6% 2.1% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.