Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Salvesen 21.0% 28.9% 22.7% 16.2% 5.3% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Bowdler 45.8% 28.5% 14.5% 7.7% 3.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Hughes 1.3% 1.3% 2.8% 3.2% 5.1% 7.5% 10.8% 13.7% 17.2% 19.4% 17.7%
Trevor Donovan 12.1% 14.9% 22.2% 18.0% 15.6% 10.3% 3.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
David Shlimak 1.9% 2.6% 3.2% 4.9% 7.9% 9.6% 12.2% 14.6% 17.1% 15.7% 10.3%
Owen Daniell 3.4% 4.8% 7.2% 10.9% 13.2% 16.7% 14.8% 12.1% 10.1% 5.5% 1.3%
Owen Moore 4.9% 7.1% 7.8% 11.7% 15.9% 16.2% 13.6% 11.1% 6.5% 3.8% 1.4%
Jacob Asher 6.0% 6.9% 12.5% 15.4% 17.9% 14.1% 12.5% 8.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Emily Pooley 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 4.6% 5.7% 9.3% 12.0% 14.0% 21.9% 24.8%
Lauren Gasek 1.8% 2.7% 3.8% 6.3% 7.8% 10.6% 15.1% 15.1% 16.9% 11.8% 8.1%
Liam Hahn 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 7.1% 10.1% 12.8% 20.6% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.