← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.35+1.72vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.98-0.04vs Predicted
-
3Yale University-0.11+2.29vs Predicted
-
4Bates College-0.52+2.10vs Predicted
-
5McGill University0.74-1.37vs Predicted
-
6Wesleyan University-0.40-0.24vs Predicted
-
7Fairfield University-1.22+0.23vs Predicted
-
8Sacred Heart University-1.60+0.04vs Predicted
-
9Rutgers University-1.84-0.35vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35-2.45vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College-2.21-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.72University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
-
1.96Salve Regina University1.980.5%1st Place
-
5.29Yale University-0.110.1%1st Place
-
6.1Bates College-0.520.0%1st Place
-
3.63McGill University0.740.1%1st Place
-
5.76Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
7.23Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
8.04Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.65Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
-
7.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
-
9.07Middlebury College-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Salvesen | 21.1% | 29.5% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 46.3% | 26.5% | 17.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Asher | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Owen Daniell | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Donovan | 12.7% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Gasek | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 26.7% |
| David Shlimak | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 9.7% |
| Liam Hahn | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 21.9% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.