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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.35+1.75vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.74+1.61vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98-0.99vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University-0.40+1.91vs Predicted
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5Yale University-0.11+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35+1.73vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.22+0.25vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.84+0.49vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-2.21+0.22vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-1.60-1.96vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.52-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
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3.61McGill University0.740.1%1st Place
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2.01Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
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5.91Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.16Yale University-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
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7.25Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.49Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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9.22Middlebury College-2.210.0%1st Place
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8.04Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.85Bates College-0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Salvesen | 22.6% | 27.2% | 20.8% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 14.1% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 43.2% | 28.5% | 17.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Asher | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| David Shlimak | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 11.9% |
| Lauren Gasek | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% |
| Emily Pooley | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 22.2% |
| Liam Hahn | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 40.7% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 14.3% |
| Owen Daniell | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.