Race 1B

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tanya Cuprak 22.2% 20.0% 17.2% 13.9% 11.0% 7.3% 4.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Rebecca Jackson 10.3% 11.6% 12.6% 12.0% 12.6% 12.6% 11.4% 9.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
John Joseph 4.6% 4.1% 3.8% 5.8% 6.8% 7.8% 11.6% 11.6% 16.4% 17.0% 8.0% 2.5%
Matt Johnson 10.5% 13.3% 12.7% 12.1% 12.1% 13.4% 9.4% 7.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Natalie Salk 13.5% 13.6% 13.8% 12.8% 12.9% 11.3% 8.7% 5.9% 4.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Sean Andrew 4.8% 5.4% 7.5% 8.0% 5.6% 9.3% 14.6% 13.3% 14.5% 10.7% 5.3% 1.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 13.7% 12.2% 12.3% 12.7% 13.1% 10.8% 10.5% 7.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 14.6% 12.8% 12.0% 11.9% 12.7% 11.6% 8.0% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Robert Keller 2.3% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 7.9% 7.7% 10.5% 15.1% 16.9% 16.8% 8.7% 2.1%
Marshall McLean 1.7% 1.6% 3.0% 3.4% 2.5% 4.2% 5.7% 8.3% 14.2% 19.3% 21.0% 15.1%
Christopher Calahan 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 1.5% 0.8% 1.8% 2.6% 5.0% 7.6% 12.0% 29.5% 36.5%
Patrick Morrissey 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 6.3% 13.2% 23.5% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.