Race 6A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Isabella Cho 12.0% 11.0% 14.1% 14.2% 14.1% 12.9% 11.6% 6.9% 2.8% 0.4%
Curtis Mallory 6.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.9% 10.5% 11.9% 15.4% 16.4% 12.5% 3.4%
Buck Rathbun 26.2% 23.8% 17.5% 13.6% 8.4% 5.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Finn Deprez 13.6% 12.8% 12.8% 14.8% 13.2% 12.7% 8.6% 7.5% 3.7% 0.2%
Jordynn Johnson 7.1% 6.0% 6.8% 10.1% 11.8% 11.6% 14.1% 16.9% 12.8% 3.0%
Kevin McNeill 5.2% 5.9% 7.3% 7.6% 8.8% 11.1% 14.9% 17.2% 18.6% 3.4%
Sam Harris 13.6% 16.2% 15.8% 13.1% 14.1% 10.3% 9.2% 5.7% 2.0% 0.1%
Robert Heath 13.4% 13.5% 13.7% 13.0% 12.4% 14.2% 9.8% 6.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Marshall Rodes 2.0% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 5.5% 7.7% 10.2% 16.4% 32.9% 14.4%
Colin Kenny 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 3.1% 5.0% 11.7% 74.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.