Race 3B

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Cornew 19.2% 15.8% 16.9% 12.7% 11.0% 8.3% 6.3% 4.2% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Phillip Morley 11.4% 11.8% 11.6% 10.6% 14.1% 9.8% 9.0% 7.2% 6.6% 5.1% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Aras Karaitis 5.3% 5.8% 8.1% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 10.2% 10.7% 10.9% 10.0% 8.5% 4.6% 1.0%
David Oliver 8.4% 8.1% 10.7% 11.0% 10.5% 9.6% 9.4% 9.9% 7.6% 8.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Drake Lundeen 22.9% 19.9% 15.2% 12.9% 9.6% 7.9% 4.8% 3.5% 1.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Kang 3.1% 4.0% 3.7% 4.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 9.5% 10.2% 12.0% 15.5% 13.7% 6.1%
Bill Weiland 8.1% 7.6% 7.5% 7.9% 9.1% 10.1% 10.4% 10.1% 9.6% 8.1% 6.8% 4.0% 0.7%
Rachel Barch 6.9% 7.5% 6.6% 9.0% 8.1% 9.6% 10.6% 11.5% 9.9% 9.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.0%
Michael Hamel 5.0% 5.5% 5.5% 7.3% 6.4% 7.9% 9.8% 10.5% 10.3% 11.0% 9.8% 9.1% 1.9%
Glen Ko 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 0.9% 2.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.8% 3.8% 7.8% 14.9% 59.7%
Margaret Winfree 1.7% 1.5% 2.5% 2.2% 3.5% 4.3% 4.8% 5.1% 8.7% 10.3% 15.0% 23.4% 17.0%
William McLaughlin 1.8% 2.9% 2.7% 3.4% 4.7% 3.9% 6.3% 5.8% 8.2% 11.0% 17.5% 20.9% 10.9%
Adelaide Davis 5.9% 9.0% 7.9% 8.7% 8.3% 11.2% 10.5% 10.2% 10.7% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.