Race 8B

sacred-heart

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nicholas Salvesen 22.3% 26.9% 22.5% 16.1% 8.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Bowdler 46.1% 26.9% 16.1% 7.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Trevor Donovan 11.7% 16.4% 20.7% 18.4% 16.0% 9.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Moore 2.9% 6.2% 7.9% 9.3% 15.8% 15.8% 16.2% 13.2% 7.6% 3.9% 1.2%
David Shlimak 2.5% 1.8% 3.2% 5.7% 6.2% 10.5% 12.4% 12.6% 16.1% 18.1% 10.9%
Emily Pooley 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 3.7% 4.2% 6.7% 7.8% 12.4% 16.4% 20.5% 24.3%
Lauren Gasek 2.0% 4.0% 3.3% 5.9% 10.0% 10.1% 11.9% 17.0% 15.9% 12.8% 7.1%
Graham Hughes 2.0% 1.6% 1.9% 3.7% 6.2% 9.3% 12.6% 12.5% 16.2% 17.7% 16.3%
Owen Daniell 3.5% 5.3% 7.9% 10.5% 12.9% 15.2% 15.1% 12.5% 9.1% 6.3% 1.7%
Liam Hahn 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.6% 4.9% 6.3% 9.6% 13.4% 18.8% 37.9%
Jacob Asher 5.3% 8.8% 13.0% 17.0% 14.9% 14.0% 12.0% 7.8% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.