← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.35+1.77vs Predicted
-
2McGill University0.74+1.62vs Predicted
-
3Wesleyan University-0.40+2.89vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.98-1.99vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University-1.22+2.39vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35+1.69vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.52-1.16vs Predicted
-
8Rutgers University-1.84+0.44vs Predicted
-
9Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.82vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College-2.21-0.87vs Predicted
-
11Yale University-0.11-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.77University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
-
3.62McGill University0.740.1%1st Place
-
5.89Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
2.01Salve Regina University1.980.4%1st Place
-
7.39Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
-
7.69University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.84Bates College-0.520.0%1st Place
-
8.44Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
-
8.18Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
9.13Middlebury College-2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.05Yale University-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Salvesen | 22.6% | 25.7% | 23.4% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Donovan | 13.9% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 42.9% | 29.9% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Gasek | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 9.1% |
| David Shlimak | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 10.9% |
| Owen Daniell | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Emily Pooley | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 21.9% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| Liam Hahn | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 37.7% |
| Jacob Asher | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.