Race 1A

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cameron Douglas 11.8% 11.6% 11.3% 11.8% 11.6% 11.3% 9.0% 7.8% 6.6% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8%
David Beaudry 7.4% 9.4% 8.1% 10.6% 8.6% 10.8% 10.8% 10.6% 9.8% 7.3% 5.0% 1.6%
Olivia Keefe 8.3% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 10.5% 8.0% 10.2% 11.5% 9.7% 9.6% 4.3% 1.7%
Scott Hansen 9.2% 9.9% 10.5% 10.8% 10.5% 11.2% 9.3% 8.3% 8.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.1%
Kelly Stukbauer 7.5% 8.3% 8.0% 9.9% 10.7% 9.2% 9.2% 10.9% 9.0% 7.9% 6.4% 3.0%
Christian Koules 10.8% 10.5% 10.7% 8.9% 11.6% 11.3% 11.2% 8.3% 7.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.2%
Samuel Baker 19.7% 17.4% 15.4% 12.4% 9.8% 9.2% 6.1% 5.3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.5%
Charlie Curtis 15.3% 13.8% 13.3% 10.9% 11.0% 9.7% 8.2% 7.3% 5.4% 2.6% 1.9% 0.6%
Trevor Stone 2.9% 3.0% 4.1% 5.5% 5.3% 7.3% 9.8% 8.3% 11.8% 14.7% 17.1% 10.2%
Nick Baker 2.2% 2.5% 3.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.9% 4.7% 5.4% 9.3% 12.6% 19.9% 31.6%
Evan Langford 3.2% 3.1% 3.8% 5.1% 5.7% 4.5% 7.2% 9.9% 12.4% 14.7% 16.2% 14.2%
John MacMoyle 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 2.5% 2.1% 3.6% 4.3% 6.4% 7.6% 13.1% 19.8% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.