Race 2A

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Trevor Stone 3.1% 3.8% 4.1% 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 6.4% 9.7% 11.9% 15.8% 15.6% 13.5%
Evan Langford 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 6.1% 7.0% 7.2% 9.0% 11.5% 14.5% 17.6% 11.7%
Cameron Douglas 12.7% 10.9% 11.4% 11.1% 11.7% 10.5% 10.9% 8.6% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Olivia Keefe 7.1% 7.7% 10.3% 8.2% 9.9% 11.5% 10.0% 11.1% 9.0% 7.7% 5.6% 1.9%
David Beaudry 7.7% 10.4% 8.7% 9.9% 8.4% 9.7% 10.8% 8.4% 10.2% 9.1% 4.7% 2.0%
Christian Koules 11.9% 8.5% 10.6% 10.8% 10.5% 9.9% 11.8% 9.2% 7.4% 4.9% 3.8% 0.7%
Samuel Baker 19.2% 17.9% 15.1% 12.3% 10.7% 7.9% 6.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Scott Hansen 10.8% 9.6% 10.4% 11.2% 9.0% 10.2% 7.7% 11.8% 8.5% 4.9% 4.8% 1.1%
Kelly Stukbauer 7.3% 8.4% 8.6% 10.3% 10.5% 10.5% 11.1% 9.6% 8.8% 9.0% 4.8% 1.1%
Charlie Curtis 13.7% 14.9% 12.6% 11.5% 12.3% 10.3% 8.4% 6.6% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
John MacMoyle 1.8% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 5.5% 5.2% 7.6% 13.3% 21.0% 33.3%
Nick Baker 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 2.8% 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% 6.1% 10.9% 12.3% 18.4% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.