Race 3A

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christian Koules 10.1% 9.8% 10.4% 10.9% 10.2% 11.8% 11.1% 8.2% 8.8% 4.1% 3.7% 0.9%
David Beaudry 7.4% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 10.1% 10.2% 8.1% 4.2% 2.1%
Cameron Douglas 12.3% 11.1% 13.5% 9.4% 10.2% 11.6% 9.6% 9.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Scott Hansen 8.6% 9.4% 11.0% 11.3% 10.9% 10.4% 11.0% 8.8% 7.3% 6.1% 3.8% 1.4%
Trevor Stone 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 7.2% 9.9% 11.5% 13.5% 15.8% 13.6%
Evan Langford 3.7% 2.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 5.3% 7.4% 9.2% 10.9% 15.0% 19.5% 11.2%
Charlie Curtis 14.3% 14.6% 12.9% 12.1% 10.7% 9.7% 9.1% 7.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Olivia Keefe 9.3% 8.7% 8.5% 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 8.9% 10.5% 10.0% 8.8% 4.9% 2.5%
Samuel Baker 19.4% 18.2% 15.4% 13.3% 10.7% 8.6% 6.3% 4.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelly Stukbauer 7.8% 8.8% 7.2% 9.1% 10.4% 9.5% 10.9% 10.1% 10.7% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9%
John MacMoyle 2.2% 1.9% 1.1% 2.7% 3.5% 3.8% 4.1% 5.5% 7.9% 14.3% 20.6% 32.4%
Nick Baker 1.6% 3.2% 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 6.9% 8.8% 13.4% 19.5% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.