Race 4A

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Samuel Baker 18.4% 16.7% 14.2% 14.3% 12.2% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 2.2% 2.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Olivia Keefe 6.9% 9.6% 9.5% 9.3% 8.8% 10.1% 10.1% 10.9% 9.4% 8.0% 4.8% 2.6%
Christian Koules 10.9% 9.9% 11.4% 10.0% 10.2% 11.6% 10.4% 9.1% 8.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
Cameron Douglas 11.4% 13.0% 11.1% 11.8% 10.6% 11.8% 9.0% 8.3% 5.5% 4.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Kelly Stukbauer 8.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.1% 9.8% 10.3% 10.0% 9.4% 10.4% 7.6% 7.1% 2.3%
Scott Hansen 9.9% 10.1% 8.8% 10.7% 10.8% 10.5% 10.6% 9.6% 8.0% 6.6% 3.3% 1.1%
David Beaudry 9.2% 8.3% 10.7% 9.1% 9.3% 9.5% 10.1% 9.4% 11.0% 7.3% 3.8% 2.3%
Trevor Stone 4.2% 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.0% 7.3% 8.9% 10.4% 15.0% 16.3% 13.1%
Nick Baker 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 2.6% 4.4% 5.1% 8.1% 8.4% 13.5% 20.3% 30.1%
Charlie Curtis 13.7% 14.3% 12.6% 11.4% 11.7% 10.7% 8.0% 7.3% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Evan Langford 3.5% 2.8% 3.2% 5.5% 6.4% 5.2% 7.5% 8.3% 12.1% 14.9% 16.5% 14.1%
John MacMoyle 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 4.7% 5.8% 8.5% 12.2% 21.7% 32.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.