Race 1B

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Ratcliff 19.8% 16.7% 16.0% 13.6% 10.4% 10.0% 5.8% 3.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Allison Weinbecker 11.0% 13.0% 11.1% 11.8% 12.2% 11.0% 8.8% 9.7% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Matthew Snyder 10.4% 8.1% 10.5% 8.3% 10.3% 10.8% 10.9% 12.8% 8.5% 5.9% 2.4% 1.1%
Mitchell Powell 7.5% 10.0% 10.1% 11.3% 9.9% 11.0% 11.1% 9.9% 8.4% 6.5% 3.2% 1.1%
Leah Harper 3.7% 6.2% 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 7.0% 10.2% 9.6% 12.2% 14.2% 11.9% 6.6%
Chris Kiener 19.1% 17.8% 14.8% 13.4% 13.4% 6.5% 6.6% 4.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Runnfeldt 7.8% 6.2% 8.1% 8.3% 9.6% 9.8% 9.6% 10.4% 12.7% 9.3% 5.5% 2.7%
Teagan Walsh 3.6% 4.3% 3.1% 4.4% 4.3% 5.9% 6.8% 7.7% 11.5% 14.5% 21.3% 12.6%
anderson brunsvold 6.4% 6.7% 10.1% 10.4% 8.3% 9.8% 11.7% 11.1% 10.3% 9.8% 3.7% 1.7%
Ian Hunter 7.3% 7.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.7% 11.4% 10.5% 12.2% 10.2% 7.8% 5.1% 2.2%
Joseph Ricca 2.0% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.3% 4.7% 4.6% 5.0% 7.0% 12.6% 24.9% 32.0%
Joshua Cole 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 3.2% 2.1% 3.4% 4.1% 7.6% 13.4% 19.9% 39.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.