Race 2B

south-points

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Ratcliff 19.7% 16.5% 15.0% 15.2% 11.3% 8.6% 5.3% 3.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Allison Weinbecker 11.0% 13.1% 11.7% 11.3% 12.4% 10.9% 8.8% 9.8% 5.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Matthew Snyder 9.9% 8.5% 10.4% 8.6% 9.7% 11.8% 11.6% 11.5% 9.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0%
Kyle Runnfeldt 5.4% 6.5% 7.4% 9.1% 9.7% 11.4% 10.3% 9.8% 11.0% 9.6% 7.3% 2.5%
Chris Kiener 19.5% 19.1% 14.1% 12.1% 10.4% 9.0% 5.8% 4.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
anderson brunsvold 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 6.8% 8.7% 12.3% 12.5% 10.2% 9.3% 9.1% 6.9% 1.5%
Mitchell Powell 9.9% 9.1% 10.4% 10.2% 11.2% 9.1% 10.7% 10.1% 9.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8%
Leah Harper 5.0% 4.8% 5.4% 8.9% 5.9% 5.6% 10.6% 10.9% 11.2% 14.7% 11.9% 5.1%
Ian Hunter 6.2% 8.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.6% 10.9% 9.9% 11.1% 10.5% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0%
Teagan Walsh 3.7% 2.5% 4.6% 3.7% 4.5% 5.5% 7.6% 8.1% 10.5% 16.6% 18.0% 14.7%
Joseph Ricca 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 3.9% 5.8% 9.0% 11.1% 25.3% 31.8%
Joshua Cole 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 1.5% 2.9% 1.9% 3.0% 4.8% 8.4% 13.2% 18.3% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.