Race 3B

south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Allison Weinbecker 11.9% 12.5% 12.1% 11.0% 13.8% 10.5% 9.4% 7.3% 5.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Connor Ratcliff 19.3% 20.4% 15.4% 15.2% 10.0% 8.2% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Leah Harper 5.9% 4.8% 4.0% 7.4% 6.9% 6.9% 10.2% 10.9% 12.0% 13.1% 11.8% 6.1%
Chris Kiener 19.4% 18.3% 17.1% 13.2% 10.5% 8.4% 4.8% 4.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Runnfeldt 6.6% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 10.6% 10.4% 11.5% 9.6% 8.6% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2%
Matthew Snyder 9.5% 10.3% 9.9% 10.3% 11.0% 12.1% 10.8% 9.6% 7.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.1%
Ian Hunter 7.9% 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 9.9% 9.6% 12.3% 8.8% 8.9% 7.9% 4.9% 2.4%
anderson brunsvold 9.4% 7.7% 8.8% 9.2% 9.1% 10.4% 10.5% 10.1% 9.7% 7.6% 4.6% 2.9%
Kurban Ali 2.4% 2.9% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 9.6% 8.3% 10.6% 12.0% 13.6% 13.8% 10.0%
Crispin Blamphin 3.4% 3.0% 4.2% 3.9% 4.7% 5.0% 8.1% 8.9% 11.3% 13.8% 18.6% 15.1%
Teagan Walsh 3.2% 1.9% 3.4% 4.9% 4.9% 6.4% 6.3% 9.9% 11.7% 14.0% 16.5% 16.9%
Joshua Cole 1.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 5.8% 8.0% 10.2% 18.2% 41.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.