Race 4B

south-points

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Allison Weinbecker 12.4% 12.6% 10.6% 12.3% 14.2% 10.9% 8.4% 7.4% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
Connor Ratcliff 19.6% 20.0% 16.4% 13.2% 11.1% 7.3% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Leah Harper 5.1% 5.5% 4.9% 6.5% 7.6% 7.7% 8.6% 11.4% 12.4% 13.2% 11.8% 5.3%
Kyle Runnfeldt 6.0% 6.7% 8.7% 8.5% 10.2% 10.5% 11.2% 10.7% 10.0% 7.7% 6.7% 3.1%
Matthew Snyder 8.9% 10.5% 11.0% 11.3% 10.3% 11.5% 10.1% 8.5% 7.7% 4.7% 4.3% 1.2%
Kurban Ali 3.5% 3.6% 4.4% 6.6% 4.8% 7.2% 7.6% 10.2% 10.9% 13.4% 16.8% 11.0%
Chris Kiener 20.5% 17.8% 16.7% 11.5% 10.3% 8.8% 6.7% 3.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Ian Hunter 9.4% 7.6% 9.4% 9.3% 9.6% 11.3% 9.7% 9.4% 10.0% 7.4% 4.5% 2.4%
Crispin Blamphin 2.3% 2.7% 3.7% 3.6% 7.3% 5.0% 7.8% 10.3% 12.5% 14.8% 15.0% 15.0%
anderson brunsvold 8.0% 8.3% 8.5% 9.8% 8.0% 11.8% 11.9% 10.4% 8.2% 7.9% 5.1% 2.1%
Teagan Walsh 3.0% 2.4% 3.6% 4.9% 4.4% 5.6% 8.0% 9.1% 10.7% 15.5% 15.8% 17.0%
Joshua Cole 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 3.9% 5.1% 8.6% 9.9% 17.5% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.