Race 4B

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Cornew 19.1% 16.7% 16.7% 11.1% 11.0% 9.0% 5.6% 5.5% 2.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Phillip Morley 12.9% 11.3% 9.8% 12.3% 11.4% 11.1% 9.1% 7.7% 6.1% 4.9% 2.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Rachel Barch 5.7% 6.6% 7.7% 9.6% 7.9% 8.6% 10.3% 11.4% 11.3% 8.6% 7.0% 4.7% 0.6%
Aras Karaitis 5.2% 7.2% 6.7% 7.9% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4% 9.0% 11.6% 10.9% 8.4% 4.1% 1.3%
Adelaide Davis 8.9% 7.6% 9.3% 9.6% 8.9% 8.5% 9.7% 11.6% 9.3% 7.9% 5.8% 2.4% 0.5%
David Oliver 9.1% 9.3% 9.4% 10.4% 9.2% 10.2% 11.7% 9.7% 7.5% 5.7% 5.7% 1.4% 0.7%
Michael Kang 4.3% 2.9% 3.9% 4.4% 6.4% 5.3% 6.5% 6.5% 10.8% 13.4% 15.7% 14.7% 5.2%
Michael Hamel 5.0% 6.5% 4.9% 6.7% 6.2% 8.9% 10.3% 11.3% 11.0% 11.4% 9.1% 5.4% 3.3%
Bill Weiland 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 9.2% 9.5% 7.5% 11.5% 10.1% 9.7% 9.9% 5.8% 4.7% 0.6%
Glen Ko 0.3% 0.7% 1.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 1.7% 3.0% 4.1% 8.0% 15.4% 58.5%
William McLaughlin 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 5.1% 6.2% 4.9% 6.4% 9.5% 13.1% 16.0% 18.9% 8.7%
Margaret Winfree 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 3.3% 3.5% 4.1% 6.1% 5.5% 7.7% 15.0% 26.7% 20.5%
Drake Lundeen 19.5% 20.0% 16.3% 12.5% 10.4% 10.0% 4.7% 3.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.