← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+2.31vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.92vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.64+2.71vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+3.77vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-0.99+5.35vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-1.02+4.42vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University-0.99+3.35vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.80vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-1.01+1.19vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-7.21vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.75-1.39vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-2.11vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-8.50vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03-1.02vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.81vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61-1.77vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-1.21-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
-
3.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
-
5.71University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
-
7.77University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
-
10.35San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
-
10.42University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
10.35San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
-
7.2University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.19University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
-
2.79California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.3%1st Place
-
9.61University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
9.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
-
4.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
-
12.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
-
12.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
-
14.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.95University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 20.7% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 15.1% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 30.8% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.