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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+2.33vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.75+6.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-1.01+6.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.77vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.03vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.99+3.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.02+1.28vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.99+0.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-6.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.11-4.91vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-3.03vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-1.76vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03-2.03vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61-1.78vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.21-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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2.72California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.3%1st Place
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9.56University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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3.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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10.31San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.31San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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12.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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12.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
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14.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 23.3% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 31.7% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 14.0% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 47.9% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.