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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+2.31vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+4.14vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.99+6.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+2.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.01+4.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.36vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+1.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.64-3.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-0.71vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-8.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.21-2.14vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.99-3.62vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.79vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61-1.80vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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2.77California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.3%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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10.38San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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9.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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9.56University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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3.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.2%1st Place
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10.86University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.38San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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12.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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14.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
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13.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 21.1% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 31.0% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 15.4% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 48.9% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.