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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.71+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-1.02+8.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+4.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.64-0.21vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-3.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.48vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.99+1.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.21+0.92vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.99-0.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.01-1.77vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-2.98vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-11.25vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.78vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03-2.91vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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5.79University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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3.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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9.48University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.23San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.92University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.23San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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2.75California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.3%1st Place
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12.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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13.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
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14.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampson Reynolds | 22.3% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 14.5% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 29.8% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 23.2% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 48.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.