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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.38vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.60+2.98vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.21+6.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-1.99vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+3.03vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.99+1.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.75+0.54vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.66vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.99-3.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.01-3.76vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.03-2.38vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Berkeley0.600.1%1st Place
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9.72University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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3.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.2%1st Place
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9.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.96San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.96San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.030.0%1st Place
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10.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 38.7% | 24.7% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| EVAN TWIGG-SMITH | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 12.6% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 21.3% | 25.0% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Elliott | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Nolan King | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 37.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.