Race 5B

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Cornew 17.6% 15.4% 14.7% 12.4% 12.7% 8.5% 6.9% 5.2% 3.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Phillip Morley 11.0% 11.2% 11.0% 11.5% 9.1% 10.2% 10.3% 7.7% 7.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Aras Karaitis 3.7% 6.0% 7.3% 7.8% 7.4% 9.7% 7.9% 10.1% 11.2% 12.4% 9.1% 5.7% 1.7%
Rachel Barch 5.8% 7.3% 5.1% 7.4% 9.2% 9.5% 9.6% 10.3% 9.6% 9.5% 9.7% 5.6% 1.4%
David Oliver 9.1% 8.9% 9.2% 9.7% 9.1% 8.4% 9.8% 10.7% 8.0% 8.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8%
George Powell 8.1% 8.8% 9.8% 8.5% 10.2% 9.9% 11.2% 9.5% 7.2% 7.0% 7.0% 2.6% 0.2%
Drake Lundeen 20.7% 18.4% 15.7% 12.4% 9.5% 7.2% 7.5% 3.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Adelaide Davis 7.5% 7.1% 8.3% 8.7% 8.6% 10.9% 8.3% 9.9% 9.5% 10.3% 6.1% 4.0% 0.8%
Michael Kang 3.0% 4.0% 3.2% 3.2% 5.1% 4.6% 4.8% 6.6% 9.1% 14.2% 16.3% 18.6% 7.3%
Bill Weiland 6.9% 6.3% 7.5% 7.9% 9.1% 9.2% 9.0% 8.8% 10.7% 8.6% 9.7% 4.7% 1.6%
Michael Hamel 4.8% 4.7% 5.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 9.6% 10.3% 11.5% 10.5% 10.1% 8.9% 2.5%
Glen Ko 0.5% 0.8% 0.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.0% 1.0% 2.2% 2.6% 3.6% 6.8% 16.6% 61.8%
Margaret Winfree 1.3% 1.1% 2.4% 2.4% 1.7% 2.9% 4.1% 5.0% 6.3% 7.4% 14.8% 29.1% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.