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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.71+3.42vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.53+0.72vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.63+5.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.68+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.18vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+2.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.12-1.95vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.48vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.87-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.43vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.87-4.99vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.43-4.24vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-5.01vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.51-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.1%1st Place
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2.72California Poly Maritime Academy1.530.3%1st Place
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8.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.630.0%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Berkeley0.680.1%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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8.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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9.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.01San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.57University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.01San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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10.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Rockwood | 14.4% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schack | 31.7% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Leddy | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 12.3% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Raduziner | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 76.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.