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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.71+3.24vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.53+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.68+1.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.02+4.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+3.00vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+1.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.43+2.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.35+1.15vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.87-1.15vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-3.07vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.63-3.76vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-7.67vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.87-5.15vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-5.17vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.51-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.1%1st Place
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2.61California Poly Maritime Academy1.530.3%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Berkeley0.680.1%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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10.15University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.85San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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8.85San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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10.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Rockwood | 14.3% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schack | 33.2% | 24.8% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 13.5% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Leddy | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 21.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Raduziner | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 77.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.