← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles0.12+4.86vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.68+2.24vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara0.71+1.26vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+0.23vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.12vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-0.75vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis-1.43+3.39vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+0.12vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-1.02+0.34vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-0.75vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.63-3.84vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University-0.87-3.86vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.55vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-4.01vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.51-1.80vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-0.87-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.86University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
-
4.24University of California at Berkeley0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.26University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.2%1st Place
-
4.23California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
-
6.12University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
-
5.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
-
10.39University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
8.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
-
9.34University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
9.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
8.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.630.0%1st Place
-
9.14San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
10.45University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
-
10.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
-
14.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.510.0%1st Place
-
9.14San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bleiz Larzul | 11.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gilland | 14.6% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 16.0% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Carter | 17.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Leddy | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Raduziner | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 76.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.