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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.68+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.12+3.78vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+4.98vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.71-2.69vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.63+0.13vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+0.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.35-1.68vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.87-3.88vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.87-4.88vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-3.87vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.51-1.74vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.43-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of California at Berkeley0.680.2%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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7.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.18California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.2%1st Place
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8.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.630.0%1st Place
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9.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.12San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.12San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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11.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.510.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gilland | 16.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Carter | 18.2% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Leddy | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 23.4% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Raduziner | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 10.0% | 75.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.