← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+6.65vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara0.71+1.43vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.87vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-0.48vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-0.57vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis-1.43+3.18vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+0.53vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.10vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-0.87-2.44vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.03vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.24-6.13vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University-0.87-5.44vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-4.45vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.54-3.47vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.51-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
3.43University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.2%1st Place
-
4.87University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
-
3.52California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.2%1st Place
-
4.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
-
9.18University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
7.56San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.97University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.87University of California at Berkeley-0.240.1%1st Place
-
7.56San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
-
11.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.540.0%1st Place
-
12.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Garcia | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rockwood | 23.2% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Carter | 20.3% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Strafford | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 32.8% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Raduziner | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 16.4% | 63.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.