Race 6B

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Cornew 17.9% 15.7% 15.3% 13.5% 9.6% 8.7% 7.5% 4.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
David Oliver 8.5% 9.0% 7.8% 8.4% 11.3% 10.7% 8.9% 9.8% 8.3% 7.7% 5.5% 3.5% 0.6%
Rachel Barch 4.6% 6.6% 7.1% 7.3% 9.0% 8.9% 10.1% 9.7% 11.6% 10.0% 8.5% 4.9% 1.7%
George Powell 8.8% 8.7% 7.5% 9.9% 10.5% 9.6% 8.5% 10.3% 9.4% 7.6% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0%
Aras Karaitis 6.9% 5.8% 6.8% 6.9% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 10.8% 9.1% 12.4% 9.1% 6.0% 1.2%
Margaret Winfree 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.2% 2.1% 3.5% 4.9% 6.9% 7.5% 15.4% 29.2% 18.9%
Drake Lundeen 22.0% 16.5% 16.5% 12.2% 8.9% 8.8% 6.8% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Hamel 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 5.9% 7.0% 7.7% 8.2% 9.7% 10.6% 12.4% 12.5% 8.4% 2.5%
Michael Kang 3.0% 3.3% 4.0% 3.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.6% 6.9% 8.7% 11.2% 17.2% 18.5% 8.9%
Glen Ko 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 2.8% 2.0% 1.4% 2.3% 4.4% 5.6% 14.9% 62.8%
Bill Weiland 6.7% 7.5% 8.3% 8.3% 8.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.3% 10.5% 8.3% 8.2% 4.3% 1.1%
Adelaide Davis 6.1% 7.1% 7.8% 9.5% 8.0% 7.3% 10.8% 11.3% 8.2% 10.2% 7.6% 4.9% 1.2%
Phillip Morley 9.1% 12.1% 10.4% 10.8% 10.9% 10.3% 10.2% 7.4% 7.8% 5.2% 3.6% 2.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.