← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara0.71+2.76vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.12+2.90vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.53-0.68vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.54vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.90vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96+1.97vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis-1.43+1.87vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.83vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-0.87-2.34vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-0.87-3.34vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-2.31vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.90vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.54-2.35vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.51-2.01vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley-0.24-10.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.76University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.2%1st Place
-
4.9University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
-
2.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.530.4%1st Place
-
4.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
-
7.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
7.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
-
8.87University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
8.83University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.66San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
7.66San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
-
8.1University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
11.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.540.0%1st Place
-
12.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.510.0%1st Place
-
5.82University of California at Berkeley-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Rockwood | 15.9% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 9.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schack | 39.9% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Strafford | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 32.6% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Raduziner | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 15.5% | 65.5% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.