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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.71+2.91vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.53+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.24+2.21vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.43+3.38vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.87+0.93vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.96-0.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.12-4.66vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.87-3.07vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-2.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.09-7.56vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.02-5.70vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.54-3.36vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.51-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of California at Santa Barbara0.710.2%1st Place
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2.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.530.4%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Berkeley-0.240.1%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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7.93San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Los Angeles0.120.1%1st Place
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7.93San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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9.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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11.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.540.0%1st Place
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13.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Rockwood | 16.2% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schack | 37.1% | 28.0% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Millan Chaudhary | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Slothower | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Strafford | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 31.2% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Raduziner | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 64.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.