← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.14+5.54vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.60vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.75+5.10vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+4.18vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-0.14vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-0.09+10.48vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.80+5.33vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.88vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-0.10vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii1.25+0.32vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington1.74-2.74vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.34vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.97vs Predicted
-
14California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+4.57vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis0.13+0.57vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley1.66-7.60vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands-0.48+0.93vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-1.51vs Predicted
-
19University of Washington-0.16-2.61vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-4.72vs Predicted
-
21University of Victoria-0.38-3.10vs Predicted
-
22California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-3.43vs Predicted
-
23University of Victoria-0.41-5.23vs Predicted
-
24Santa Clara University-0.65-5.45vs Predicted
-
25San Diego State University-0.46-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.54University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
-
4.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
-
8.1University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
-
8.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
4.86California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
-
16.48University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
-
12.33University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
9.88University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
-
8.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
-
10.32University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
-
8.26University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
-
8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
12.03University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
18.57California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
-
15.57University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
-
8.4University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
-
17.93California State University Channel Islands-0.480.0%1st Place
-
16.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
-
16.39University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
15.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
-
17.9University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
-
18.57California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
-
17.77University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
-
18.55Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
-
18.01San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 15.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Madigan | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 15.3% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Marcellini | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.