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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+7.62vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands-0.48+16.20vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+6.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+4.17vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.74+2.22vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+11.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-3.32vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.75-1.22vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-5.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.15vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.25-1.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.80-0.52vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.16+2.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.13+0.65vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.46+1.96vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-0.60+1.33vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.09-1.57vs Predicted
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19University of Victoria-0.38-1.72vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-4.80vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University-0.65-2.19vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-3.47vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.66-14.60vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-7.68vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles0.92-13.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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18.2California State University Channel Islands-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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18.53California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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7.78University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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4.92California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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12.48University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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16.62University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.65University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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17.96San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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18.33University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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16.43University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.28University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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18.81Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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18.53California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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16.32University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Marcellini | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Madigan | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.