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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+6.97vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+3.01vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.75+5.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+5.95vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.80+5.29vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.25+2.37vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.40vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.16+6.63vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.46+6.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+3.38vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+5.74vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.66-5.71vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.48+3.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.41vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-8.32vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.13-2.54vs Predicted
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19California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-10.10vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.26vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.09-4.87vs Predicted
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22University of Washington1.74-13.82vs Predicted
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23University of Victoria-0.38-5.38vs Predicted
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24University of Victoria-0.60-5.65vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University-0.65-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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5.01California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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12.29University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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16.63University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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17.99San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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15.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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18.74California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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18.23California State University Channel Islands-0.480.0%1st Place
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16.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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15.46University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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8.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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18.74California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.13University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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17.62University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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18.35University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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18.73Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Madigan | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 13.2% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Marcellini | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.