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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Hamel 5.7% 7.2% 5.4% 9.1% 8.2% 9.6% 11.2% 12.5% 11.5% 11.1% 7.8% 0.7%
Drake Lundeen 26.1% 20.6% 18.1% 12.7% 8.8% 5.6% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adelaide Davis 9.5% 8.8% 11.2% 10.2% 10.7% 10.5% 11.5% 11.1% 8.2% 5.8% 2.3% 0.2%
Phillip Morley 12.5% 15.3% 14.0% 13.5% 12.7% 10.1% 7.6% 5.6% 5.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 7.8% 9.0% 9.9% 11.1% 10.3% 10.0% 11.1% 9.8% 9.3% 6.5% 5.1% 0.1%
Aras Karaitis 7.4% 8.8% 7.4% 9.3% 10.2% 11.4% 10.0% 11.2% 10.7% 8.6% 4.7% 0.3%
David Oliver 11.6% 11.2% 12.6% 11.2% 11.7% 11.1% 9.8% 8.4% 6.4% 3.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Rachel Barch 10.1% 8.3% 9.5% 9.2% 10.3% 10.8% 9.6% 10.1% 9.6% 7.3% 5.0% 0.2%
Amanda Leigh Snyder 2.6% 3.7% 4.8% 6.1% 6.7% 7.7% 9.8% 10.6% 12.8% 17.7% 15.9% 1.6%
Margaret Winfree 2.3% 2.0% 3.7% 3.0% 3.2% 4.4% 6.0% 6.9% 11.7% 15.5% 35.1% 6.2%
Daniel Bartz 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% 2.4% 4.9% 88.4%
Michael Kang 3.9% 4.8% 3.1% 4.1% 6.8% 8.3% 8.6% 10.6% 12.9% 18.4% 16.5% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.