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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.05+5.58vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.53+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.46+2.47vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.88+0.44vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.36+0.74vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University1.25+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.60-2.02vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.32-2.27vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.54-2.32vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-0.00-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-2.31-0.37vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago0.57-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58University of Michigan1.050.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Minnesota2.530.3%1st Place
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5.47University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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5.74Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.01Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Michigan1.600.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Michigan1.320.1%1st Place
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7.68Northwestern University0.540.0%1st Place
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8.9Northern Michigan University-0.000.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Illinois-2.310.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Chicago0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hamel | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Drake Lundeen | 26.1% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Davis | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Phillip Morley | 12.5% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Aras Karaitis | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| David Oliver | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Barch | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Leigh Snyder | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 1.6% |
| Margaret Winfree | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 35.1% | 6.2% |
| Daniel Bartz | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 88.4% |
| Michael Kang | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.