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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.36+6.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.63vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14+1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.75+1.61vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-0.48+9.89vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.66-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.74-2.34vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-2.47vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.25-2.23vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.13+1.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+1.32vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+2.79vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.46+0.96vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.09-1.34vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.16-1.91vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-0.65-1.57vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles0.92-8.77vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-3.21vs Predicted
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22University of Victoria-0.41-5.15vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.03-3.95vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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16.89California State University Channel Islands-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.85California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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8.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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14.79University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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15.32University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.79California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.96San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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15.66University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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16.09University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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17.43Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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17.79California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.85University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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19.05University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes McElvain | 14.1% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 17.1% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Madigan | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Marcellini | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.