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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.46vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands-0.48+15.17vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+3.35vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.60+0.68vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.66+2.04vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.75+0.55vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-3.07vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.74-4.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+2.78vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.25-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.14vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-0.26vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+0.69vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-0.31vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.46-1.88vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis0.13-5.64vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.03-2.10vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-0.09-6.43vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-0.65-5.22vs Predicted
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24University of Victoria-0.41-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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17.17California State University Channel Islands-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.68California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.2%1st Place
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8.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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8.92California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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11.15University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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15.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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15.74University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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17.69California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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17.69California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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17.12San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.36University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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18.9University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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15.57University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.78Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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16.93University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 15.9% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Marcellini | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 15.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Madigan | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.