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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+6.63vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+4.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+9.45vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.91-1.57vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.34+2.73vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87+3.67vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+9.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.37+3.81vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.24-4.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+1.14vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.79-1.01vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.44+4.14vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+3.28vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.93+3.84vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.62+1.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.71+1.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego1.45-9.85vs Predicted
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19California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-6.31vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-6.69vs Predicted
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21University of Victoria-0.56-3.74vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands0.15-7.71vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-0.38-6.34vs Predicted
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24University of Washington-0.27-7.93vs Predicted
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25San Diego State University-0.25-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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6.87California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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12.45University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.3%1st Place
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8.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.340.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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17.28California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Berkeley0.370.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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17.14Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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17.28California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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18.84University of California at Santa Cruz-0.930.0%1st Place
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17.97University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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18.12University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.15University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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12.69California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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17.26University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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14.29California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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16.66University of California at Davis-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.0San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Long | 25.6% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cefali | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Josefina Ruggieri | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Francine Brownell | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jodie Jacobs | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.